{"id":774,"date":"2018-11-12T10:39:01","date_gmt":"2018-11-12T14:39:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/?p=774"},"modified":"2023-10-16T01:48:00","modified_gmt":"2023-10-16T01:48:00","slug":"dominion-renaissance-first-impressions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/dominion-renaissance-first-impressions\/","title":{"rendered":"Dominion: Renaissance first impressions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>A week ago the Renaissance expansion for Dominion was released. I opened up a poll asking people to rate each card-shaped object in the expansion from 0 to 10, based on how powerful they thought it was after initially seeing it and without having much time to play with it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There were 47 responses, which is a great sample size. If you&#8217;d like a link to the raw data and the output of my script that computes the basic stats from that data, you can find that <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1jqsEdFrqOf1yo1XtXJ-63U6qhqYT-oPGP4LtAjnuou4\/edit#gid=425521737\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A couple of quick notes before I get to presenting the data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>First, I did not submit my ratings for this poll and I asked other people who playtested the expansion who I talked to to do the same. The game designer has asked that we withhold our opinions on this for a couple of months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;ll be doing another poll around that time to see how opinions have changed after having some time to play with the cards, and I&#8217;ll be submitting my ratings to that poll. When I do the write-up for that poll I&#8217;ll provide my own commentary on where I agreed or disagreed with the community&#8217;s ratings, etc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Second, I&#8217;ve been doing some thinking about the way this data should be presented, and I&#8217;m going to present the data differently from now on. Here&#8217;s why: these ratings are subjective in nature and it&#8217;s based largely on the fact that there is no &#8220;best&#8221; definition for what it means for a card to be strong\/powerful or weak. If I ask you which of two cards is more powerful, what does that actually mean?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;ve often said that minor differences in ranking or power level shouldn&#8217;t be taken that seriously, and I&#8217;ve made it clear that I don&#8217;t think this list functions well as a way to directly compare two cards, but then I just go ahead and present the data as a ranked list even though that&#8217;s not supposed to be the main takeaway. Why do I do that? That&#8217;s just silly. So I&#8217;m not going to do that anymore (and maybe if I get time to do it I&#8217;ll re-format the results from previous posts). I&#8217;ll present the data here as I think it&#8217;s most appropriate, and if you really want to see a ranking of the cards you can take the raw data and do it yourself. Just know that I don&#8217;t think there&#8217;s any value at all in doing that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>OK enough of that rant. Let&#8217;s see some data!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>First, I&#8217;ll present the list of all ratings with relevant stats. It&#8217;s sorted not by mean this time, but we have the cards first (then the projects) and then they&#8217;re sorted in alphabetical order. Here it goes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"222\" height=\"692\" src=\"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/ren_all.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1533\" srcset=\"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/ren_all.png 222w, https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/ren_all-96x300.png 96w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 222px) 100vw, 222px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Keep in mind that if something has a high variance, the median score is often a better metric than the mean score for getting a more accurate representation of the data. Also, keep in mind that there is even less of a clear idea of what makes a Project powerful than there is for making a card powerful, so as expected we see slightly higher variance for those.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hopefully you can take a look at this list and see for any given card what the approximate opinion is about that card.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;d also like to point out that the mean scores have a range of 3.8 through 8.18, which is less than 4.5. I think that this means the first impressions of the Renaissance cards are fairly uncertain at this point &#8212; if a card is particularly strong or bad, many people haven&#8217;t figured that out by just looking at it (and for the record I gave out scores as low as 3 and as high as 10 for my own personal first impressions &#8212; I believe the power is there).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s a second way to look at the data, in chart form:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"442\" src=\"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Screenshot-from-2018-11-13-09-30-50-1024x442.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1560\" style=\"aspect-ratio:2.316742081447964;width:1140px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Screenshot-from-2018-11-13-09-30-50-1024x442.png 1024w, https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Screenshot-from-2018-11-13-09-30-50-300x129.png 300w, https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Screenshot-from-2018-11-13-09-30-50-768x331.png 768w, https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Screenshot-from-2018-11-13-09-30-50.png 1185w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The data here is the same, but the way it&#8217;s displayed is designed to give a better idea of how the variance plays into things. The horizontal tick for each card represents the mean score, and the bar going up or down represents the 95% confidence interval for that rating. Statistically, this means we should be 95% confident that the &#8220;real&#8221; rating of the card lies within the range of that vertical bar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So cards with less agreement have bigger vertical bars, and cards with more agreement have a smaller range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So here&#8217;s the data, I hope this is enlightening for you in some way. If there&#8217;s a big disagreement between your rating and the consensus, it should be an interesting discussion to hash out where that comes from. In a few months I&#8217;ll be making another poll and comparing those results to this post, so stay tuned!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A week ago the Renaissance expansion for Dominion was released. I opened up a poll asking people to rate each<span class=\"more-dots\">&#8230;<\/span> <span class=\"more-tag d-block mt-15\"><a class=\"more-link wp-block-button__link icon-inline\" href=\"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/dominion-renaissance-first-impressions\/\">Continue Reading...<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \"Dominion: Renaissance first impressions\"<\/span><\/a><\/span><!-- .more-tag --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-774","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-dominion","category-tabletopgames","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/774","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=774"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/774\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1879,"href":"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/774\/revisions\/1879"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=774"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=774"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adamhorton.com\/flog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=774"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}